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BofA Strategist Hartnett Sees US Stock Market’s Global Dominance Fading

(Bloomberg) -- Bank of America Corp. strategists expect US stock-market outperformance to continue to fade after a relentless run was halted in the early part of 2025.Most Read from BloombergCitadel to Leave Namesake Chicago Tower as Employees RelocateNice Airport, If You Can Get to It: No Subway, No Highway, No BridgeNYC Sees Pedestrian Traffic Increase in Congestion-Pricing ZoneHow London’s Taxi Drivers Navigate the City Without GPSTransportation Memos Favor Places With Higher Birth and Marria

Weak Payrolls Is Worst Case for US Stocks, JPMorgan Traders Say

(Bloomberg) -- The US payrolls figures due later on Friday need to be just right — not too hot, and not too cold — for US stocks to keep rising, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. Market Intelligence.Most Read from BloombergCitadel to Leave Namesake Chicago Tower as Employees RelocateNice Airport, If You Can Get to It: No Subway, No Highway, No BridgeNYC Sees Pedestrian Traffic Increase in Congestion-Pricing ZoneHow London’s Taxi Drivers Navigate the City Without GPSTransportation Memos Favor Pla

Analysis-Leaving Fed behind, top central banks have room to ease

Central banks around the globe have plenty of room to keep cutting interest rates, and a limited "decoupling" from the U.S. Federal Reserve could continue as it pauses its own policy easing, according to policymakers and analysts. Such a parting of the ways could cause problems for U.S. President Donald Trump, taking the sting out of his planned tariffs on trade and even raising the risk that U.S. companies and households will have to pay more to borrow. The Fed is the world's biggest central bank and usually leads others in setting the direction for policy.

Trump inherits a labor market at full employment. Can he keep it there?

Defying fears of a pandemic-driven Great Depression and bucking Federal Reserve interest rate hikes as well, the U.S. job market has hit what U.S. central bank officials are characterizing as a moment of stable full employment, with balanced wage and job growth and a low unemployment rate. As the job market signaled growing weakness last year and the unemployment rate rose, "the question was, are we going to settle in at full employment, or crash through" to yet higher joblessness, as has typically been the case when the unemployment rate rises, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said on Thursday.